Last year, Jeff Bagwell finished 15 votes shy of Hall of Fame election, becoming just the 17th player in history to reach 70+% of the vote and not get in. The silver lining? All but one of the previous 16 were elected to Cooperstown the very next year – often overwhelmingly.
Of those 16 players, perhaps the best corollary to Bagwell – and the reason everyone should be optimistic – is Goose Gossage. Like Bagwell, Gossage initially hung around the 40% marker for the first few years he was on the ballot. And in the year following his ascent to 70% (71.2% in 2007, his 8th year of eligibility), no sure-fire Hall of Famers joined Gossage on the ballot (Tim Raines, interestingly enough, was the highest first-year vote-getter in 2008). As a result, Gossage and Rice were the only two players to receive at least 70% of the vote, with Gossage securing 85.8%.
It’s very conceivable Bagwell will follow a similar track this year as Gossage, right down to Raines playing a prominent role.
But for every Goose Gossage, there’s a Jim Bunning. Poor, unlucky Jim Bunning. In 1988, the former pitcher fell just four votes shy of election on his 12th ballot*. Poised to finally breakthrough the next year, Bunning actually lost 34 votes. Some bums named Bench and Yastrzemski, not to mention Perry and Jenkins, joined the ballot, and as a result, Bunning’s case moved to an area just behind the back burner and never recovered. He lost another 26 votes in 1990 and, despite a surge in 1991, his last year of eligibility, Bunning failed to be voted into the Hall of Fame**.
* In those days, players had 15 years of eligibility, which was changed two years ago when the Baseball Writers’ Association of America reduced the number of eligible years to 10.
** Bunning was eventually voted in by the Veteran’s Committee in 1996
Depending on your mental state, you either laser-focused on the Gossage section of this article and feel better. Or, if you’re like most doom-and-gloom Houston sports fans, conditioned by years and years of frustrating disappointments, the Bunning story probably read like a Stephen King novel and you’re now cursing us and wondering why we’d be so cruel as to even bring Bunning up. How dare you, Bags4HoF! How dare you!
Relax; we have a plan that we think can help Bagwell secure those final 15 votes.
Performance enhancing drugs has, of course, been a storm cloud hanging over Bagwell’s career for years. Despite not a shred of credible, corroborated information, it has continued to dog him into retirement and throughout his Hall of Fame candidacy. Many writers – writers who, we like to point out, a) were present during Bagwell’s career; b) are not doctors or scientists – have made it their mission to retroactively speak up for all the times they didn’t throughout the 90s. The fallout has been underwhelming support for otherwise sure-fire Hall of Famers like Bagwell, Mike Piazza, Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens.
With last year’s voter purge and Piazza election, though, that hard line PED stance is starting to fall by the way side. Even PED-witch hunters like Jon Heyman are coming around.
Last year, for the first time, Heyman threw his hands in the air like he just didn’t care and voted for Bonds and Clemens. But for some inexplicable reason, he left Bagwell (and Piazza) off his ballot (while voting for the statistically inferior Fred McGriff, btw).
He wasn’t alone: 25*** other voters selected Bonds but not Bagwell last year – and that provides us a potential path to victory for Bagwell
Bonds is, strictly by the numbers, an infinitely better candidate than Bagwell. But he’s also certifiably dirtier than Bagwell, in relation to PEDs. If we have 26 voters willing to cast a vote for Bonds – but not Bagwell – that’s 26 voters who, free of PED innuendo, could be convinced to vote for Bagwell based strictly on the merits of his candidacy.
So, how can you help? At the end of this article, we’ve listed the Twitter and/or email information for as many of the 26 writers as we could find who checked Bonds’ name – but not Bagwell’s – last year. Your assignment is to tweet at or email them. A lot. Like, hourly. And if you can fit it, please be sure to include us on the tweets (@Basg4HoF)
*** There was actually 28 writers but two of them – @TonyMassarotti and @NYPost_Willis – have already released their ballots. Good news/bad news: Bagwell gained a vote with Willis; failed to convince Massarotti.
And to help you, we’ve prepared several tweets/an email that make the case for Bagwell. Copy and, for the love of all that’s holy, USE THEM. Repetition is our friend – the writers need to see the same numbers and comparisons again and again for it to have an impact.
Before you do anything, though, please, please remember:
- the goal is to engage, not enrage
- facts trump opinion
- be respectful; most writers are pretty good about responding
- cursing is not your friend
- neither is anger
OK; enough chit-chatting; let’s get to tweetin’! Here are the writers and below that are an endless stream of tweets to send their way. REMEMBER to place a “.” before their Twitter handles to ensure it shows up in their feed. And if you need/want to send an email, we wrote one of those, too.
Dave Borges – @DaveBorges
Shi Davidi – @ShiDavidi
Chris DeLuca – @ChrisDeLuca
Bob Hertzel – @bhertzel
Jon Heyman – @JonHeyman
Bruce Jenkins – @Bruce_Jenkins1
George A. King – @GeorgeAKingIII
Danny Knobler – @DannyKnobler
Jeff Miller – [email protected] & @jeffmillerOCR
Carrie Muskat – @CarrieMuskat
Mark Newman – @Marathoner
Rob Parker – @RobParkerWXYZ
Mike Puma – @NYPost_Mets
Anthony Rieber – @therealarieber
Claire Smith – @MzCSmith
Steve Wine – @Steve_Wine
Jim Alexander – @Jim_Alexander
Steve Henson – @HensonUSATSMG
Tom Keegan – @TomKeeganLJW
David Maril – [email protected]
Could not find contact information for:
And here are the suggested tweets:
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 22nd all-time with a .948 OPS, ahead of HoFers T. Cobb and W. Mays. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 28th all-time with 1,401 BBs, ahead of HoFers R. Jackson and McCovey. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 29th all-time in OB% (.408), ahead of HoFer Rickey Henderson. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 31st all-time with an OPS+ of 149, ahead of HoFers M. Schmidt, W. Stargell & W. McCovey. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 33rd all-time in SLG% (.540), ahead of HoFers Snider and F. Robinson. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 35th all-time with a 79.6 WAR (position players), ahead of HoFers B. Robinson and J. DiMaggio. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 39th all-time with 449 career HRs, ahead of HoFers Dawson and Ripken. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 39th all-time in runs created (1,788), ahead of HoFers R. Jackson and M. Schmidt. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 46th all-time with 74.0 offensive WAR, ahead of HoFers J. DiMaggio and D. Winfield. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 46th all-time with 969 XBHs, ahead of HoFers T. Perez and R. Yount. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 47th all-time with 1,517 Rs, ahead of HoFers R. Alomar & F. Thomas. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks 48th all-time with 1,529 RsBI, ahead of HoFers M. Mantle and J. Rice. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Bagwell & Bonds 2 of only 6 with 1500 Rs & RsBI + 1400 BBs + 200 SBs. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Bagwell & Bonds 2 of only 13 with 1500 Rs & RsBI + 200 SBs. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Bagwell & Bonds 2 of only 14 with 400 HRs + 200 SBs. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Between ’94-’03, Jeff Bagwell ranked top 8 in 8 of 10 offensive categories. Only Barry Bonds had more (9). @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Between ’94-’03, Jeff Bagwell ranked 1st in Rs (1,160), ahead of Barry Bonds. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Between ’94-’03, Jeff Bagwell ranked 2nd in BBs (1,066), behind only Barry Bonds. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Between ’94-’03, Jeff Bagwell ranked 3rd in WAR (60.8), behind only Bonds & ARod. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Between ’94-’03, Jeff Bagwell ranked 3rd in RsBI (1,155), 92 more than Barry Bonds. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Between ’94-’03, Jeff Bagwell ranked 5th with 366 HRs. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Between ’94-’03, Jeff Bagwell ranked 6th in OPS+ (156). @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Between ’94-’03, Jeff Bagwell ranked 7th in OPS (.994). @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell would rank 3rd in WAR among current HoF 1B, ahead of Mize, Murray, McCovey, Killebrew, Greenberg, Sisler. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell would rank 5th in OPS+ among current HoF 1B, ahead of McCovey, Killebrew, Murray, Sisler. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell ranks top 50 all-time in 9 offensive categories (OPS, BB, SLG%, WAR, HR, OB%, RC, XBH, RsBI). @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell is only full-time 1B to post multiple 30/30 seasons (‘97: 43 HRs/31 SBs; ‘99: 42/30) @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell had nine seasons with 30+ HRs. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell had eight seasons with 100+ RsBI. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell had nine seasons with 100+ Rs scored. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell drew at least 100 BBs for seven straight seasons. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) From ’96-‘01, Jeff Bagwell reached at least 30 HR, 100 RBI, and 100 R all 6 seasons, 1 of only 6 players to ever do so. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) In ‘94, Jeff Bagwell became the first NL player to finish 1st or 2nd in BA, HRs, RsBI, and Rs since Willie Mays (‘55). @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell’s .750 slugging percentage in ‘94 ranks as the 11th best single-season mark in MLB history. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) Jeff Bagwell’s .750 slugging percentage in ‘94 is the highest in NL since Hornsby (’25). @Bags4HoF
.@(name) In ‘00, Jeff Bagwell became 5th player to post 45HR, 100RsBI, 150R season, joining Ruth, DiMaggio, Foxx & Gehrig. @Bags4HoF
.@(name) In ‘00, Jeff Bagwell became 5th player to record 300 HR, 1,000 RBI and 1,000 R in 1st 10 seasons. @Bags4HoF
.@(name)Jeff Bagwell, Aaron, DiMaggio, Robinson & Williams R only players to go 300 HRs, 1,000 RsBI and 1,000 Rs in their first 10 seasons. @Bags4HoF
SUBJECT: If Bonds, Why Not Bagwell?
Last year, you voted for Barry Bonds for the Baseball Hall of Fame; deservedly so. And by doing so, you’ve indicated that whatever residual effect the steroid era had on baseball during the 90s has never or is no longer influencing your voting. Terrific!
So why is Jeff Bagwell not on you ballot? Did you know that among current Hall of Fame first baseman, Bagwell would rank 3rd in WAR (ahead of Mize, Murray, McCovey, Killebrew, Greenberg and Sisler) and 5th in OPS (ahead of McCovey, Killebrew, Murray and Sisler)? Altogether, Bagwell ranks top 50 all-time in nine offensive categories (OPS, BB, SLG%, WAR, HR, OB%, RC, XBH, RsBI).
And during his peak (1994-2003, which coincides with Bonds’ peak), Bagwell ranked top 8 in eight of 10 offensive categories. Only Bonds had more top 10 finishes among all Major League baseball players during that era (9). In fact, Bagwell actually scored and drove in more runs than Bonds over that 10-year stretch.
Bagwell and Bonds are two of only six players all-time with at least 1,500 runs, 1,500 RsBI, 1,400 walks and 200 stolen bases. The duo is also two of only 13 with 1500 at least 1,500 runs, 1,500 RsBI and 200 stolen bases. And just two of 14 with at least 400 home runs and 200 stolen bases.
If you’d like to read up on Bagwell’s incredible – and obviously underrated career, we invite you to visit bags4hof.com. Thanks for reading.
Good luck; let’s hope this is the year for Jeff Bagwell!